E) Intercity Skytran Routes

This fourth example compares a proposed San Francisco to Los Angeles high-speed rail link to a SkyTran installation for the same purpose.

 

High Speed Train

SkyTran w/ 100 stations

Cruise Speed

125 mph

100 mph

Average travel speed due to stops at 6 stations

100 mph

100 mph (only stops at your destination)

Total system miles

450 miles

450 miles

Time to travel 450 miles

4.5 hours

4.5 hours

Total number of vehicles

(?)

25,000

System Cost

$12.6 billion

$0.825 billion*

% of High Speed Rail Cost

100%

6.5%

Hourly passenger capacity

1,000 (500 in each direction)

2,000 (4,000 if 2 persons per vehicle)

Maximum daily capacity

8,000 (four trains, one round trip per day)

50,000 (100,000 if 2 persons per vehicle)

Expected daily capacity

8,000

8,000

Annual gross income from fare revenues

$262 million

$262 million

Annual expenses

Assume $0**

$75 million

Excess remaining after expenses

Same $262 million

$187Million

Annual return to State for its transportation investment

2.1%**

22.7%

*The conclusion here is that an on-demand Inter-City SkyTran system can carry you from one city to the other in the same exact time as the proposed "High" Speed Rail system, but for a fraction of the capital investment cost. SkyTran is also more convenient to use, has higher carrying capacity and can return a reasonable profit to the State. Additional stations and routing can be added to an inter-city route for minimal additional cost, giving the system the flexibility of multiple starting and finishing locations.

** Annual expenses for energy, maintenance, operations, salaries of operators, facilities, etc. of high speed trains typically exceed the annual income from fare revenue. Obviously, even with zero expense the annual return to investors is awful.  High speed rail also means big $ for law suits every time a pedestrian is run over and killed or a derailment crash occurs.

Source: The Los Angeles Times, May 25, 1990, "SF-LA Rail Link urged by year 2000."

The difference between $12.6 billion and $.825 billion is $11.8 billion.  This saving is enough to build a complete 3D SkyTran grid in both the San Francisco bay area and the entire Los Angeles area (Los Angeles County plus San Bernardino County and Orange County).

Alternatively, that $12.6 billion for high speed rail could be used to build 6,400 miles of SkyTran track and 1 million SkyTran vehicles.  If the average commuter is making a 10 mile daily commute, this system would have the capability to complete 4,000,000 such 10 mile trips per hour!

Cost and time saving benefits for intercity travelers: This figure and table show the cost and time saving benefits for intercity travelers, if the money saved was used to build complete SkyTran 3D networked grid systems to cover both the San Francisco and Los Angeles areas.

Comparison Of San Francisco To Los Angeles Travel Times

 

High Speed Rail

SkyTran

Jet Airplane

Drive to San Francisco station

30 min

10 min (walk)

30 min

Park, check in, wait for departure

30 min

0

60 min

Board and prepare for departure

10 min

15 sec

20 min

  Rail: time with 6 stops to LA

4.5 Hours

NA

NA

  SkyTran: non-stop time to LA

NA

4.5 Hours

NA

  Airplane: taxi and take off

NA

NA

15 min

  Airplane: climb out, fly, descend

NA

NA

60 min

  Airplane: land, taxi, deplane

NA

NA

20 min

Walk to rental car booth, check in

15 min

NA

15 min

Get rental car

15 min

NA

20 min

Drive to Los Angeles destination

30 min

10 min (walk)

30 min

Total Times

6.7 Hours

4.8 Hours

4.5 Hours

One Way Cost Estimates

$125 + $30 for car

$45

$90 + $30 for car

 

Copyright©1999-2003, Douglas J. Malewicki, AeroVisions, Inc.