SkyTran Capacity Analysis

People seem to be extremely skeptical and always ask how can these little 2 seat PODS can possibly have any reasonable hourly passenger carrying CAPACITY, especially compared to light rail and buses that carry 100 or 200 people at a time?

The answer is technology...  It is by computer control and sensing that was very successfully demonstrated way back in 1997... 

The following data is from: http://www.path.berkeley.edu/PATH/Research/demos/  (There are several good PDF publications and videos you can download from that page.)


DEMO '97 in SAN DIEGO, CALIFORNIA.
August 7-10, 1997.


This platoon control demonstration was held in San Diego by the National Automated Highway System Consortium (NAHSC). PATH showed an 8 Buick LeSabre platoon in combined longitudinal and lateral control on the I-15 HOV lanes. The vehicles were driving themselves at 6.5 meters spacing and 60 mph. The scenario involved vehicle #2 splitting, doing a lane change, falling back and doing another lane change to join the platoon back as vehicle #8. PATH also showed a single Buick mini-demo at Miramar College, which Senator Boxer rode. The vehicle was fully automated, going forward and in reverse, on a tight course set up with cones.

The demonstration was such a success that, in February 1999, the PATH team received the UC Distinguished Service Award.


(CLICK HERE to download the PATH .wmv video of this demonstration.   6.6 megabytes.)


Note that when you do the math you see that 6.5 meters (21.33 feet) at 60 mph is a spacing of 0.24 seconds between each Buick (time = distance/velocity = 21.33 feet/88 feet per second).  SkyTran plans to operate with double the above spacing between vehicles, namely 0.50 seconds. 

You should of course now ask yourself if their has been any computer and control systems improvements since 10 years ago?   You might want to think about the current DARPA Grand Challenge autonomous cars for that answer!  (We obviously love Moore's Law!)

Now we are ready to do the
Hourly Capacity Calculation

Note: ONE freeway lane carries 2,200 passengers per hour.
(reference: CalTrans - California Dept. of Transportation)
 

Operating with ½ second spacing, we see that ONE lane of SkyTran will yield:
(= occupants per 0.5 second times 3,600 seconds per hour)
 

RIDDEN SOLO = 7,200 people per hour (= 3.3 freeway lanes)
TWO RIDERS = 14,400 people per hour (= 6.5 freeway lanes)

 

A light rail or bus jammed with 300 passengers would have to come by
every
1 ¼ minutes to obtain this same hourly capacity!
(= 300 people per bus
divided by 14,000 SkyTran people per hour times 60 minutes per hour)

 

 

Copyright©1999-2007, Douglas J. Malewicki, AeroVisions, Inc.
SkyTran, UniModal and the UniModal logo are trademarks and property of UniModal, Inc.