Goodnight
- March 31, 2052
Well kiddies, what bedtime story do my favorite great,
great, great grandchildren want to hear tonight?
I wanna hear how you got rich
grandpa.
Well, Kim that's kind of a long story, and it's already
pretty late. Don't forget I've got to get up early tomorrow. What do you
think Rory?
I wanna hear about your jetbike
gramps and how you set the galactic land speed record.
C'mon, you've heard that one a million times by now. How
'bout you John?
Well, grandfather, as you know
I've always been interested in how you were able to calculate the
variable power requirements for your 3-phase linear propulsion system
using those absolutely stone-age computers of the early 2000's?
Well, that would sure put the other kids to sleep. Let's
see...Michelle, since it's your birthday tomorrow, why don't I just let
you pick?
Oh goody. Gramps, how about all your
SkyTran stories - at least up until the year 2048 - the year when I was
born.
OK, but not all, just a few.
You do remember what I already taught
you about how without the evolution of cheap super high-speed computers
and sensors we never could have pulled it off. It's all about
persistence, being in the right place at the right times and a lot of
luck. Way back in 1962 famous people like J. R. Pierce, an executive
director at the old Bell Telephone Labs, were predicting that 50 years
in the future that driving and flying for face-to-face meetings would be
largely replaced by interactive visual electronic communications. That
was a long time ago. I was just a grad student at Stanford University on
Earth at the time.
Thirty-eight years later as the new
millennium approached, technological breakthroughs for visual based
two-way communications were finally nearing a cost-effective product for
the masses. The media began to seriously discuss the potential upcoming
marketing explosion. It took another dozen years and only happened once
Internet based Video Communication started delivering a quality picture
that filled an entire screen at a 30 frames per second refresh rate. In
just two years, that technology became a global norm. People really
liked the instant convenience of two-dimensional, full color,
face-to-face meetings. Unfortunately, in spite of the predictions that
electronic communications would substitute for travel, all airline and
surface traffic continued to grow!
But Grandfather, why
didn't these great visual communications reduce the congestion problem?
Many factors, John, one being that
medical technologies and health awareness progressed even faster and in
just one lifetime the world's population doubled. Another was tourism.
The experience of physically seeing, smelling, hearing and touching some
remote spot on the planet could never be replaced by the best 3D SHDTV
videos. Also, the large majority of people still went to factories or
offices to work; to stores to buy; and to schools to learn. There simply
was something important in our basic human nature that preferred the
expensive, time-consuming hassles of transporting ourselves to
personally meet, work and interact with other humans.
Our first business involvement in the
transportation field coincided with the new millennium.
By the year 2000, there were far more scheduled airline flights than in
J. R. Pierce's 1962. There were also more cars and congestion on the
roads than ever. People were frustrated and furious.
I remember mom and dad
talking about that gramps, but how did we allow it to happen?
Obviously, for better or for worse
primitive humans started it all. They caused it when they began
pondering simple ideas on how to they might be able to get from place to
place faster than they could walk or run. They didn't even speak or have
a written language, so couldn't have philosophical discussions about the
long-term implications of their technological advances. They just did
the best they could with the tools and materials of each era and made
continual minute improvements. As millenniums of human time passed, all
kinds of inventors came up with better and better mechanized conveyances
to take themselves places ever faster and faster. Inventive, creative
humans could take credit for it all - from the first crude shoes to
cover our bare feet to the Truax 10 million-pound thrust liquid
propellant rocket engines that finally made space travel affordable for
all. Those non-gimbaled, non-turbine pump, pressure fed Truax monster
Aerospike engines became the basis for the beautifully simple, fully
reusable, one day turnaround, rocket boosters that did the trick!
People who were born on earth and
spent their entire lives back there were rather oblivious to the fact
that their planet did not come preassembled with cities, paved roads,
highways, railroad tracks and airports. We amazing, puny little humans
built every little bit of it. The entire infrastructure was taken for
granted and accepted as is. We think this lack of technological
awareness was simply due to the fact that each newborn human doesn't
start to become aware of the big world around itself until about age 3.
It is almost impossible at that early age to grasp that all this
"stuff" has not existed forever in its current form. We adapt
to what is in the now. It becomes our reality.
Unfortunately, in a few rare cases,
the technology driven changes that continually occur from this point on
in human awareness terrify a few and they rebel against all technology.
The infamous Unabomber of the 1990's was a great example. To him,
technology was evil and had to be eradicated. He thought blowing up
people would get his message across. He didn't even get it himself. He
did not want all technology removed, he just wanted it to go back to the
"right" level of technology - namely when he was three years
old. It was quite mentally acceptable for that poor soul to use earlier
"evil" technology and inventions such as outdoor toilets,
paper, woven fabric for clothing, containers to hold water, shelters
built of man made lumber, writing instruments, refined chemicals, mass
produced electrical wire, teeny batteries, and the US Mail. Because
these technological items were in use prior to when he was born, the
Unabomber, simply did not perceive them as untrustworthy, or
unacceptable evil technologies.
The automobile was a perfect example
of the love/hate relationship with technology. Humans of the 20th
century loved their car inventions! They also hated them at the same
time. What a mess that most wonderful feature - fast, personal mobility
- had created. Back in the year 2000, a decent car cost $20,000 or more
and protective storage of that car took 20% of the available space
inside one's home. That use of expensive space was logical, however,
because buying a car took as much as 20% of one's after tax income. One
also had to buy insurance and licenses to drive it. Gas cost $1.10 per
gallon and most cars only got about 20 miles per gallon. Parking in a
city easily cost over $10.00 per day or $2,500 per year! The consumption
of raw land was also enormous. Parking lots at stores, parking lots at
work, multi-story parking structures downtown, car storage room in the
home, roads everywhere, dealerships, repair shops, parts stores and gas
stations. Then there was the pollution, traffic lights, congestion,
stress and frustration.
I find it hard to
believe, grandfather, that as primitive as people were back then, they
couldn't come up with any practical solutions? Didn't the government try
to do anything?